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What would a long-term deal for Taylor Moton look like? - Cat Scratch Reader

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Both the Carolina Panthers and right tackle Taylor Moton are still interested in discussing a potential contract extension, despite the Panthers using the franchise tag on Moton on Tuesday. The team has said it and now Matt Rhule is saying it again.

Experts around the Panthers saw the move as one of buying time. It’ll cost the team $13.75 million to keep Moton around for 2021, but it gives both sides more time to negotiate a new deal. The Panthers have until July 15 to sign Moton to a long-term contract before he is required to play the 2021 season under the franchise tag.

Moton is considered a future elite tackle, and many believe the Panthers would be crazy to let him go. We’re going to see over the 2021 season just how much of a jump he makes into the elite tackle many expect him to be.

Whether he’s reached the top 10 tackles in the game is up for honest debate.

It might be more fair to argue that he’s reached the top 15 tackle group. Pro Football Focus currently lists Moton as the 13th best tackle in the game with an 81.2 rating, just under Detroit’s Taylor Decker and just above Los Angeles Rams’ Rob Havenstein.

Connor Orr of Sports Illustrated even claimed that Moton “established himself as an absolute necessity at the right tackle spot” and believes “he was a must for the Panthers to retain”.

What’s generally agreed is the Panthers need Moton for their future.

How much will he cost long-term?

Moton and his agent could gun for somewhere within the $14.5 to $15 million average annual value (AAV) rank.

At the eighth highest paid tackle, Taylor Decker makes $15 million AAV. One above him at the seventh spot is Nate Solder of the New York Giants, at an expensive $15.5 million.

Per Spotrac, the ninth to 12th highest-paid tackles are currently within the $14 million range. From ninth, that’s D.J. Humphries ($14.583 million), Dion Dawkins ($14.575 million), Jake Matthews ($14.5 million) and Jack Conklin ($14 million).

If we go by PFF’s rankings, Moton is performing better than Dawkins, Matthews and Solder, but not as well as Humphries (PFF’s fourth-best tackle), Conklin (10th best tackle) and Decker (12th best tackle).

Purely judging by PFF ranking, an appropriate number would be somewhere around $14.5 to $14.75 million per year. On a four-year deal, that would work out to $58 to $59 million.

More realistically, it could turn into $13.75 million AAV for a deal around $55 million.

It really depends on how one values Moton. Here we’re going by PFF rankings, which have taken their fair share of criticism over the years. Still, PFF represents a good starting point for the discussion.

And if the Panthers want to keep their franchise right tackle around, they’ll need to pony up the cash. New Panthers general manager Scott Fitterer and salary cap manager Samir Suleiman will doubtlessly have plenty of work on their plate.

But with both sides intent on getting a deal done, it shouldn’t be a surprise to see it happen relatively soon.

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What would a long-term deal for Taylor Moton look like? - Cat Scratch Reader
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